Analyst: At present, it is not necessary for the central bank to cut interest rates again. Chen Xi, chief analyst of open source securities, believes that it is not necessary for the central bank to cut interest rates again at present, and the bond market is expected to show a volatile market in the future. On the one hand, the central bank has not substantially lowered the policy interest rate. On the other hand, the policy has turned to finance and real estate, and the current economy is already stabilizing and recovering. The central bank will not cut interest rates again in the short term.Moody's rating adjusted the outlook of California to stability.The offshore RMB (CNH) was quoted at 7.2675 yuan against the US dollar at 05:59 Beijing time, up 168 points from last Friday's late session in new york, and the whole trading in the day was in the range of 7.2927-7.2572 yuan.
Economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee will hold a meeting on December 9th. At the meeting, the deployment arrangements for economic work in 2025 have attracted much attention from the market. In particular, the meeting has many new expressions that positively set the tone for next year's macro policies, which has stimulated the market's expectation for the introduction of more relaxed incremental policies and stronger support for economic development next year. "Implementing a moderately loose monetary policy" is the first time in 14 years. It is expected that the central bank will take greater efforts to cut interest rates and lower the RRR next year; "Implementing a more active fiscal policy" is positive and proactive, and the direction of fiscal overweight is beyond traditional investment and people's livelihood, and it will further increase consumption and real estate. Looking forward to 2025, economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year. Li Chao, deputy director and spokesperson of the Policy Research Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, said earlier that more than 300 major reform measures are being accelerated, the innovation-driven development strategy is being implemented in depth, and the real economy and the digital economy, advanced manufacturing and modern service industries are integrating and developing. (Securities Times)Moody's rating adjusted the outlook of California to stability.What you need to know about the global news overnight on Tuesday: 1. China's asset carnival overnight. The Hang Seng Index closed up 3.43% and the Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 4.22% overnight. China ETF rose more than 24% when it tripled its wealth. IShares MSCI China ETF closed up 7.76%. FTSE China A50 index futures reopened after closing up 4.66% yesterday afternoon, and closed up 0.86% at night. 2. Nasdaq China Jinlong Index closed up by 8.54%, and many popular Chinese stocks rose by more than 10%. Tiger Securities rose more than 26%, Futu Holdings rose more than 17%, Billie Billie rose more than 21%, Weilai and Xpeng Motors rose more than 12%, iQiyi rose more than 11%, JD.COM rose more than 11%, Pinduoduo and Netease rose more than 10%, and Alibaba, Baidu and LI rose more than 7%. Many rooms touched the fuse many times in intraday trading, and finally closed up 52.14%. 3. The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.54%, the Nasdaq down 0.62% and the S&P 500 down 0.61%. Bitcoin dropped to $95,000, cryptocurrency concept stocks fell, Riot Platforms fell more than 13%, Coinbase fell nearly 10%, MicroStrategy and Bit Digital fell more than 7%. 4. OpenAI released the long-awaited AI video generation model Sora. The new product is similar to the AI tool DALL-E of OpenArt. Users input the desired scene, and Sara will give back the results of HD video editing. 5. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said that if Trump imposes a 25% tariff, Canada "will respond". 6. French President Mark Long will convene representatives of most political parties to hold consultations on the candidate for prime minister on the 10th. 7. A 26-year-old man was arrested in Altoona, Pennsylvania on Monday, and new york police regarded him as a suspect in the shooting of Brian Thompson, CEO of United Health Insurance. 8. The latest issue of "Barometer of Trade in Goods" released by WTO shows that the prosperity index of global trade in goods in the fourth quarter of 2024 is 102.7, which is higher than the benchmark of 100. 9. It is reported that the snack and candy company Yizi International is exploring the acquisition of Hershey, a well-known American chocolate manufacturer. This potential transaction is expected to create a food giant with a total sales of nearly 50 billion US dollars. 10. The Special Investigation Department of the South Korean Prosecutor's Office said on the 9th local time that it issued an arrest warrant against former Defense Minister Jin Longxian on the grounds of "civil strife and abuse of power". 11. Oracle Bone Inscriptions's adjusted revenue in the second quarter was $14.06 billion, and it is expected to be $14.12 billion. Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell more than 8% after hours.
The annual demand peak season is coming, and the price of pigs is going down actively. By the end of the year, the two festivals are approaching, and the pig breeding industry is gradually entering the annual demand peak season. Recently, the production and sales data of November disclosed by listed aquaculture companies showed that the market price of live pigs in that month was down from the previous month. Zou Yingji, an analyst at Zhuo Chuang Information, believes that the overall price of live pigs in November showed a trend of first falling and then rising. In the first half of November, the mentality of some operators was relaxed, and the pig sources for secondary fattening in the early stage were released one after another, and the supply of pig sources in the market increased obviously. However, because the temperature did not drop significantly, the downstream receiving efforts were limited, and the terminal delivery speed was slow, and the market was in an oversupply situation, which led to the downward trend of pig prices in the first half of November. In the late stage, the temperature in some areas gradually decreased, and some southern markets started the curing action one after another, and the demand side improved slightly, which supported the price of live pigs to stop falling and rebound. However, because the cured meat is only opened sporadically, the increase of demand side is limited, and there is not much room for the rebound of pig prices. After entering December, the increase in domestic pig prices failed to continue. Zou Yingji believes that at present, in order to ensure the smooth completion of the annual slaughter plan, the enthusiasm for slaughtering pigs is high, and farmers also have large-weight pigs to be slaughtered or released in the pickling season. The supply of pigs may still be abundant in December.The global central bank's big move at the end of the year is surging in the foreign exchange market, and the end of the year is approaching, and the global central bank has entered an intensive interest rate discussion cycle. In the next two weeks, monetary policy meetings of major central banks around the world will follow one after another-this week, many central banks including the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia, and the Swiss National Bank will announce interest rate resolutions; Next week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also take turns to stir up the market. (SSE)The application of AI continues to deepen, and the prosperity of the sector continues to improve. Recently, a number of artificial intelligence companies have intensively released their latest products, and the related concept sectors in the A-share market are active. Wind data shows that Wande's artificial intelligence concept index has risen in six of the nine trading days since November 27, with an interval increase of 12.64%. Analysts believe that overseas AI applications are growing strongly, and the growth potential of domestic AI applications is expected to explode. On the one hand, the performance of the core AI application companies in US stocks has grown rapidly, further strengthening the AI narrative logic; On the other hand, domestic AI application scenarios are more extensive and have achieved good application results in many fields such as education and office. It is suggested to focus on the growth and liquidity of domestic AI applications. (CSI)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13